FRI. JUL. 25 THOUGHTS
The ‘watch list’ is a staple of most traders. Arguably the most common question asked here is: “how do you form your watch list?” There are generally three types of stocks that go on this list. First, the list is especially prescient during earnings season. Every stock that has a 90-day average of 1,000,000 shares traded per day along with a range of at least 20% price movement for the year is included on our earnings list which in turn goes onto the watch list. Second, any stock with major news- no matter the size of the company-is included. For instance, if a stock has a ‘phase III’ approval FDA or a major oil find, the stock is automatically added to the watch list. Finally, a scan is run every night of every stock on the NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ which traded at least 1,000,000 shares, moved up or down at least 5%, and closed at or near the day’s high or low. By doing this homework, a list of stocks is procured based on a wide range of news and price action with volatility ostensibly assured due to wild action as a result of reactions to news and/or further movement based on strong moves the previous day.
Markets overnight were down in Asia and Europe on the heel of the tumble state-side yesterday. Futures higher this morning; there seems to be aun underlying bid to the market. With the weather perfect today in New York, look for almost all of the action to take place early. It seems in here like the market will hold all else equal as the financials are showing decent strength pre-open.
Reiterating-New code for the next few days if the whole story is not there due to an expansive number of ideas-If something is good, assume either a short thru unchanged or an A-B-A2 based on direction of the market unless specifiedIf something is bad, assume either a buy thru unchanged or an A-B-A2 based on direction of the market unless specified
Good-
WYNN- decent earnings; stock traded higher last night initially
JNPR- OK earnings, but a positive conference call
MCHP- decent earnings
BNI- decent report
HUN- ostensibly putting themselves up for sale
MSO- on Cramer
PNSN, QDEL- both strong in closing near their highs
NFLX- good earnings
TROW- good earnings
ACI- very good earnings
Bad-
CB- missed earnings badly
CROX- warned terribly about its outlook
YRCW- warned for year, but has been beaten down…could be interesting to upside
IBKR- terrible earnings
BMC- bad earnings
VSEA- bad earnings
WDC- terrible conference call
RGR- closed near low; likely a short thru today’s low
CACB,ASBC,KBR,AIV- among other smaller financials, all closed near lows
ABFS- down tremendously now in two days; if YRCW mounts a rally, ABFS may get sympathy move
DSL- very weak; may be rumors of going out of business and is short thru unch if it opens higher
SFI, PCBC- both also notably weak
FRI JUL 25 BEF
ALEX .78/500M .77/518M 3.25/2.06B 3.35/2.03B
AXL -.98/514M .02/622M -1.34/2.38B 1.66/2.63B
ACI .64/739M .69/739M 2.67/2.93B 5.86/3.91B
B .60/388M .60/379M 2.35/1.53B 2.64/1.62B
BEC .87/755M .84/739M 3.61/3.09B 4.08/3.33B
BLC .20/193M .24/197M .81/808M .77/782M
BDK 1.42/1.60B 1.37/1.53B 5.32/6.16B 5.60/6.10B
CVH .55/3.02B 1.05/3.04B 3.68/12.07B 4.19/13.16B
FO 1.24/2.06B 1.19/1.97B 4.39/7.97B 4.85/7.83B
HRZ .21/332M .61/351M 1.25/1.33B 1.75/1.41B
IDXX .56/278M .44/261M 1.85/1.07B 2.22/1.20B
IFX ?/2.57B ?/2.64B ?/10.22B .19/9.60B
ITT 1.10/2.93B 1.03/2.81B 4.10/11.52B 4.61/12.21B
LM .13/1.04B .94/1.04B 3.15/4.18B 4.29/4.39B
NFLX .40/338M .31/347M 1.23/1.37B 1.54/1.62B
NTY .70/537M .64/583M 2.69/2.16B 3.11/2.46B
RSG .46/828M .49/830M 1.81/3.26B 2.01/3.39B
TROW .60/568M .63/585M 2.43/2.31B 2.82/2.62B
UCBH .07/93M .07/95M .26/375M .66/422M
Good luck today.
www.protradingnetwork.com
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